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Election 2011, News, Politics

ITV Wales Poll: Assembly Election and Referendum voting intentions – October results

ITV WALES YOUGOV TRACKING POLL.

Results of poll carried out 25 to 27 September 2010. Sample size: 1012. This month’s poll includes the usual tracking questions plus a one-off question on public spending cuts.

ASSEMBLY VOTING INTENTION
(compared with 2007 election and previous polls in 2010)

If there were an election to the National Assembly for Wales tomorrow, and thinking about the constituency vote, how would you vote?

2007 Result May Poll June Poll July Poll Aug Poll Sept Poll Oct Poll
Labour 32% 32% 42% 40% 39% 44% 44%
Plaid Cymru 22% 22% 20% 22% 23% 19% 21%
Cons. 22% 21% 19% 20% 22% 22% 19%
Lib Dem 15% 20% 12% 13% 10% 11% 9%
Other 8% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 8%

And thinking about the regional or party vote for the National Assembly for Wales, which party list would you vote for?

2007 Result May Poll June Poll July Poll Aug Poll Sept Poll Oct Poll
Labour 30% 30% 40% 37% 39% 41% 40%
Plaid Cymru 21% 21% 19% 20% 23% 19% 23%
Cons. 22% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 18%
Lib Dem 12% 18% 12% 14% 9% 12% 9%
Other 16% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 11%

REFERENDUM VOTING INTENTION

(compared with previous polls in 2010).

If there were to be a referendum tomorrow on giving the National Assembly for Wales increased law-making powers, how would you vote?

April Poll June Poll July Poll Aug Poll Sept Poll Oct Poll
Yes 49% 55% 48% 48% 49% 52%
No 33% 28% 34% 32% 30% 29%
Don’t Know/ Wouldn’t vote 18* 17% 19% 21% 20% 20%

As a result of the UK Government’s Comprehensive Spending Review, the Welsh Assembly government’s budget is being cut. However, it will be up to Assembly ministers to decide how different areas of spending are affected.

From the following areas of spending by the Welsh Assembly Government, please select up to three you think should definitely NOT face spending cuts. (Please select up to three.)

Health 75%
Schools 50%
Business, employment and training 23%
Public Transport 23%
Housing 20%
Projects to help poor communities 19%
College and university education 17%
Road improvements 16%
The environment 11%
Other local government services 9%
Farming and countryside 9%
Arts, culture and heritage 5%
Sport 2%
None of these 2%
Don’t know 3%

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Discussion

3 thoughts on “ITV Wales Poll: Assembly Election and Referendum voting intentions – October results

  1. DO NOT CUT:
    Health
    Schools
    Farming

    WAG should have more power & I would vote Labour

    Posted by Lynn | October 28, 2010, 11:05 pm

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